Features | Algorithm | Dataset | F1 | ACC | AUC (95% CI) | AP | KS | TP | FP | TN | FN | TPR | TNR | Kappa |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Methylation | LightGBM | Training | 0.995 | 0.999 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 197 | 0 | 1364 | 2 | 0.990 | 1.000 | 0.994 |
 |  | Validation | 0.460 | 0.807 | 0.768 (0.694–0.843) | 0.538 | 0.540 | 43 | 77 | 378 | 24 | 0.642 | 0.831 | 0.353 |
 | XGBoost | Training | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 199 | 0 | 1364 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
 |  | Validation | 0.429 | 0.770 | 0.756 (0.683–0.830) | 0.391 | 0.525 | 45 | 98 | 357 | 22 | 0.672 | 0.785 | 0.308 |
 | Random forest | Training | 0.995 | 0.999 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 197 | 0 | 1364 | 2 | 0.990 | 1.000 | 0.994 |
 |  | Validation | 0.443 | 0.803 | 0.737 (0.656–0.818) | 0.611 | 0.517 | 41 | 77 | 378 | 26 | 0.612 | 0.831 | 0.334 |
Expression | LightGBM | Training | 0.992 | 0.998 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 196 | 0 | 1364 | 3 | 0.985 | 1.000 | 0.991 |
 |  | Validation | 0.447 | 0.801 | 0.709 (0.626–0.792) | 0.465 | 0.472 | 42 | 79 | 376 | 25 | 0.627 | 0.826 | 0.337 |
 | XGBoost | Training | 0.997 | 0.999 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 198 | 0 | 1364 | 1 | 0.995 | 1.000 | 0.997 |
 |  | Validation | 0.426 | 0.784 | 0.706 (0.646–0.766) | 0.538 | 0.494 | 42 | 88 | 367 | 25 | 0.627 | 0.807 | 0.309 |
 | Random forest | Training | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 199 | 0 | 1364 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
 |  | Validation | 0.283 | 0.592 | 0.647 (0.563–0.731) | 0.347 | 0.320 | 42 | 188 | 267 | 25 | 0.627 | 0.587 | 0.105 |
Combination | LightGBM | Training | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 199 | 0 | 1364 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
 |  | Validation | 0.517 | 0.839 | 0.834 (0.770–0.897) | 0.616 | 0.615 | 45 | 62 | 393 | 22 | 0.672 | 0.864 | 0.427 |
 | XGBoost | Training | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 199 | 0 | 1364 | 0 | 1.000 | 1.000 | 1.000 |
 |  | Validation | 0.439 | 0.780 | 0.807 (0.740–0.874) | 0.460 | 0.566 | 45 | 93 | 362 | 22 | 0.672 | 0.796 | 0.322 |
 | Random forest | Training | 0.995 | 0.999 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 1.000 | 1.000 | 197 | 0 | 1364 | 2 | 0.990 | 1.000 | 0.994 |
 |  | Validation | 0.452 | 0.791 | 0.818 (0.758–0.878) | 0.599 | 0.487 | 45 | 87 | 368 | 22 | 0.672 | 0.809 | 0.340 |
FRS | Framingham 10- | Training | – | 0.830 | 0.647 (0.606–0.687) | – | – | 39 | 105 | 1188 | 147 | 0.210 | 0.919 | – |
 | Year risk scale | Validation | – | 0.797 | 0.610 (0.536–0.684) | – | – | 12 | 49 | 376 | 50 | 0.194 | 0.885 | – |