Table 4 Results from the ROC curve analyses in EXPOsOMICS CVD

18 years

160

0.525 (0.461; 0.589)

0.477; 0.580

0.569 (0.505; 0.632)

0.647; 0.482

0.749 (0.696; 0.803)

0.719; 0.698

0.484 (0.420; 0.548)

0.523; 0.500

0.753 (0.700; 0.807)

0.732; 0.685

17 years

159

0.527 (0.463; 0.591)

0.520; 0.553

0.562 (0.498; 0.626)

0.669; 0.472

0.753 (0.700; 0.806)

0.753; 0.671

0.516 (0.452; 0.580)

0.545; 0.484

0.757 (0.704; 0.810)

0.740; 0.689

16 years

158

0.527 (0.463; 0.591)

0.513; 0.554

0.559 (0.496; 0.623)

0.583; 0.572

0.751 (0.698; 0.805)

0.718; 0.692

0.527 (0.463; 0.591)

0.449; 0.610

0.756 (0.704; 0.809)

0.705; 0.717

15 years

149

0.541 (0.477; 0.604)

0.518; 0.577

0.560 (0.496; 0.623)

0.681; 0.450

0.739 (0.684; 0.794)

0.741; 0.671

0.536 (0.472; 0.600)

0.509; 0.477

0.745 (0.691; 0.799)

0.687; 0.732

14 years

139

0.567 (0.504; 0.630)

0.483; 0.662

0.581 (0.518; 0.644)

0.494; 0.662

0.730 (0.674; 0.786)

0.705; 0.691

0.573 (0.509; 0.636)

0.682; 0.475

0.741 (0.686; 0.796)

0.688; 0.683

13 years

123

0.595 (0.531; 0.659)

0.625; 0.537

0.592 (0.528; 0.656)

0.526; 0.667

0.720 (0.663; 0.777)

0.662; 0.699

0.595 (0.531; 0.659)

0.531; 0.650

0.731 (0.676; 0.787)

0.651; 0.740

12 years

111

0.596 (0.530; 0.662)

0.529; 0.649

0.594 (0.529; 0.659)

0.510; 0.694

0.709 (0.650; 0.768)

0.588; 0.775

0.592 (0.525; 0.658)

0.588; 0.613

0.718 (0.661; 0.775)

0.598; 0.757

11 years

95

0.622 (0.554; 0.690)

0.536; 0.705

0.618 (0.549; 0.686)

0.568; 0.663

0.693 (0.630; 0.755)

0.582; 0.758

0.610 (0.540; 0.680)

0.536; 0.695

0.710 (0.651; 0.770)

0.600; 0.737

10 years

84

0.622 (0.551; 0.693)

0.580; 0.607

0.619 (0.548; 0.691)

0.576; 0.631

0.700 (0.636; 0.765)

0.550; 0.845

0.602 (0.530; 0.673)

0.541; 0.667

0.721 (0.661; 0.781)

0.554; 0.821

9 years

67

0.647 (0.571; 0.722)

0.601; 0.612

0.645 (0.569; 0.721)

0.649; 0.582

0.683 (0.611; 0.754)

0.609; 0.746

0.623 (0.546; 0.700)

0.581; 0.627

0.708 (0.642; 0.775)

0.577; 0.731

8 years

55

0.687 (0.611; 0.762)

0.569; 0.709

0.676 (0.601; 0.752)

0.627; 0.673

0.692 (0.618; 0.766)

0.623; 0.746

0.638 (0.554; 0.722)

0.635; 0.618

0.732 (0.664; 0.800)

0.612; 0.782

7 years

37

0.711 (0.626; 0.796)

0.615; 0.703

0.707 (0.625; 0.789)

0.554; 0.811

0.678 (0.587; 0.770)

0.622; 0.703

0.668 (0.566; 0.770)

0.669; 0.622

0.721 (0.641; 0.801)

0.741; 0.649

6 years

28

0.778 (0.702; 0.854)

0.673; 0.786

0.771 (0.688; 0.853)

0.634; 0.821

0.753 (0.668; 0.839)

0.686; 0.786

0.730 (0.616; 0.844)

0.669; 0.750

0.803 (0.740; 0.867)

0.676; 0.893

5 years

23

0.774 (0.695; 0.853)

0.623; 0.826

0.773 (0.694; 0.851)

0.634; 0.826

0.761 (0.665; 0.856)

0.723; 0.783

0.735 (0.618; 0.852)

0.688; 0.783

0.800 (0.741; 0.860)

0.757; 0.783

4 years

16

0.823 (0.746; 0.899)

0.799; 0.688

0.821 (0.736; 0.906)

0.632; 0.938

0.785 (0.653; 0.917)

0.722; 0.875

0.783 (0.649; 0.917)

0.689; 0.875

0.830 (0.755; 0.906)

0.773; 0.750

3 years

13

0.811 (0.720; 0.901)

0.642; 0.846

0.806 (0.724; 0.888)

0.652; 0.846

0.772 (0.620; 0.923)

0.772; 0.846

0.762 (0.628; 0.896)

0.768; 0.769

0.809 (0.726; 0.892)

0.705; 0.846

2 years

7

0.851 (0.767; 0.935)

0.799; 0.857

0.842 (0.745; 0.939)

0.737; 0.857

0.751 (0.575; 0.926)

0.656; 0.857

0.717 (0.562; 0.872)

0.779; 0.571

0.863 (0.766; 0.960)

0.766; 0.857